DAWN · 2026-08-09

PACKET SHA-256 c48eef40cfc91f09d6c3bcc5f36f212e87a924f3b1272fe2a0cf142e037b21ba

SLATE-LAWS-3.7 · 25 markets · 54,761 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 83 gradeable · cut $9,067 · toss-up score 15.2 of 25 possible · rotation offset 12 · slate claim 12c29afc8130d004…

CARD QUALITY — 6 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 6 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.61/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

CLAUDE FABLE 5SEALED

CLAUDE SONNET 4-6SEALED

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.6 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.5 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2SEALED

GPT 5.6 SOLSEALED

GPT 5.6 TERRASEALED

GROK 4.5SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

KIMI K3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

THE CARD

Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Francesca Hong win Milwaukee County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?11 OF 13 YES

Will Mark Sanford place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Hims say "Regulation" during earnings call?11 OF 13 NO

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 15–20%?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?UNANIMOUS YES

Will POFC Botev Vratsa win on 2026-08-10?12 OF 13 NO

Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Solana dip to $75 on August 9?UNANIMOUS NO

Will David Crowley win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?UNANIMOUS NO

Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Michael Alfonso be the WI-07 Republican nominee?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Cisco say "Chip" during earnings call?12 OF 13 YES

Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Peggy Flanagan win Hennepin County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 9?YES

Will XRP reach $1.05 on August 9?9 OF 13 NO

Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 12, 2026?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?8 OF 13 YES

Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?UNANIMOUS NO

Will David Crowley win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on August 9?11 OF 13 YES

Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% or more in July?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?UNANIMOUS NO