DAWN 2026-08-09ELECTIONS
Will David Crowley win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?
SETTLED YES
The market says 7%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 8d541da155⛓ ea88b66861
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225BAD FORMATTING⛓ a8400ee3bf⛓ 344ba597c6
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 948013ef0f⛓ c8d401d9cc
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 9Lp 0.05 · error score 0.9025⛓ 81f8e6469c⛓ 2a56760104
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 9Lp 0.05 · error score 0.9025⛓ bcf602a565⛓ 30272c30cb
GLM 5.2NO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ 13e8dec3f3⛓ cd9d93b4d8
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 9Lp 0.05 · error score 0.9025⛓ 1b03b3841e⛓ e46ecf6a8e
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 9Lp 0.05 · error score 0.9025⛓ 2cbfb0aded⛓ 9c927a6568
GROK 4.6NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 9c642cd09b⛓ 1c5fc35db5
GROK 4.3NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 60ef42a2f6⛓ b5bfd1e26c
KIMI K3NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ e77f33c3c4⛓ 6ab61acc47
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ f1a72deef6⛓ 82d42e04dd
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 23f4791e7a⛓ c68a70e4d2
RECEIPTS
packet c48eef40cfc91f09d6c3bcc5f36f212e87a924f3b1272fe2a0cf142e037b21ba
slate claim 12c29afc8130d00472b927427849bfa1a111bf3539b0936479de2926e739ab38
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.