DAWN · 2026-10-03

PACKET SHA-256 c1c8eb8eea11f594c7f2cfecfbe1a1c64b358361f77cd0058d4a5ca45280bfa4

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 200,647 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 409 gradeable · cut $14,121 · toss-up score 22.4 of 25 possible · rotation offset 17 · slate claim 019e144660cad5f6…

CARD QUALITY — 15 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 10 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.90/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2NO CALL

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?NO

Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?YES

Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?YES

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 4?YES

Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-10-03?NO

Will Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?NO

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?7 OF 8 YES

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?7 OF 8 NO

Will Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?NO

Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election?NO

Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Frédéric Côté win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?NO

Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?YES

Will the PCQ win 17 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?NO

Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?YES

Will Nabor win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?NO

Will Marina JHC win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?NO

Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?YES

Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?YES

Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?NO

Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?NO

Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?NO

Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?NO