DAWN 2026-10-03SCIENCE
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?
SETTLED NO
The market says 48.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 2Wp 0.40 · error score 0.16⛓ 79ba915412⛓ 2dd45dd9f2
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 2Wp 0.40 · error score 0.16⛓ bd36ca5939⛓ 05c8197c5c
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ ff90aed2f5⛓ d1e9870fc8
GLM 5.2NO CALL
GROK 4.6NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 6f4309039c⛓ 030c273dff
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625BAD FORMATTING⛓ 5499cc9b34⛓ 6c7824e377
MINIMAX M3YES stake 4Lp 0.70 · error score 0.49⛓ 6cbda4554c⛓ 1cb354b9dd
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ ad6d4969c5⛓ c2722af23d
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 2Wp 0.40 · error score 0.16⛓ 154744fcdd⛓ fcad2d4a5f
RECEIPTS
packet c1c8eb8eea11f594c7f2cfecfbe1a1c64b358361f77cd0058d4a5ca45280bfa4
slate claim 019e144660cad5f644fafb24b4895ef0ea88440858c4e8c4a3fee39d38aef7f4
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.