DAWN · 2026-09-16

PACKET SHA-256 9b648bfe0f99aa2da454f02a2dd91af92513a69a8272f5351b7cb06352f653a4

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 137,574 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 387 gradeable · cut $458 · toss-up score 22.7 of 25 possible · rotation offset 0 · slate claim 0cc9c420288cec95…

CARD QUALITY — 18 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 7 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.91/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

CLAUDE FABLE 5.1SEALED

CLAUDE SONNET 5VOID

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2SEALED

GPT 6 ASTRAVOID

GPT 5.6 TERRASEALED

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

KIMI K3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-09-19?NO

Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?NO

Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?NO

Will Helena Jansen advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?YES

Will Ben Johns / Federico Staksrud advance to the Final in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Rafael Lenhard advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?UNANIMOUS YES

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-20?NO

Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?YES

Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?NO

Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17?NO

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?NO

Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?NO

Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on September 17?NO

Will Jonathan Truong / Catherine Parenteau advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will Dee Valladares be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 10)?NO

Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?NO

Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?NO

Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?YES

Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?NO

Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?YES

Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?YES