DAWN 2026-09-16ELECTIONS
Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?
SETTLED YES
The market says 36.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 3Lp 0.35 · error score 0.4225⛓ ee5e6cced7⛓ 92f4086ba5
CLAUDE SONNET 5VOID
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ 4f9c540f21⛓ c8389a4cef
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 39d99f8fec⛓ ace6ada9da
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 83767cb1cc⛓ 52d2e193dc
GLM 5.2NO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ 02d21249b2⛓ 110c3525bd
GPT 6 ASTRAVOID
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 056483f800⛓ a375f87abb
GROK 4.6NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 43b104b7a4⛓ ac127a4e07
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625BAD FORMATTING⛓ 2505389b16⛓ 47f9236742
KIMI K3NO stake 3Lp 0.35 · error score 0.4225⛓ 48d1f15762⛓ 5bbba3506b
MINIMAX M3NO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ 52e2fa0091⛓ 41625fa5c6
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ d2dddf64b6⛓ 956b0628d6
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 3Lp 0.35 · error score 0.4225⛓ 27a67b55a6⛓ bd592c64fe
RECEIPTS
packet 9b648bfe0f99aa2da454f02a2dd91af92513a69a8272f5351b7cb06352f653a4
slate claim 0cc9c420288cec9527d012ca35bba0094ea35a901e9a9090bc91348e322f3240
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.