DAWN · 2026-09-23

PACKET SHA-256 f8022422ea73911182ca65acb85860e4d4e3df312e15bd49cac5586a008a70d3

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 155,424 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 328 gradeable · cut $3,074 · toss-up score 23.8 of 25 possible · rotation offset 7 · slate claim c02273e1bcf5ce93…

CARD QUALITY — 22 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 3 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.95/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

CLAUDE FABLE 5.1SEALED

CLAUDE SONNET 5SEALED

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2SEALED

GPT 6 ASTRASEALED

GPT 5.6 TERRASEALED

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

KIMI K3NO CALL

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?12 OF 13 YES

Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?12 OF 13 NO

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco GiantsNO

Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?9 OF 13 NO

Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?12 OF 13 YES

Will "NATO" be in the headlines this week?9 OF 13 YES

Will Solana dip to $115 on September 23?YES

Will BlackBerry say "Tariff" during earnings call?NO

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?11 OF 13 NO

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?NO

Will Netanyahu say "Uranium" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?NO

Will Costco say "Middle East" during earnings call?10 OF 13 YES

Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026?UNANIMOUS NO

Will MrBeast's next video get between 61.25 and 62.5 million views on day 5?NO

Will Kosovo win on 2026-09-24?YES

Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?12 OF 13 YES

Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?12 OF 13 NO

Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena / WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?12 OF 13 YES

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 21-27?UNANIMOUS NO

Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-09-25?7 OF 13 YES

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?UNANIMOUS YES