DAWN · 2026-09-22

PACKET SHA-256 dfa0815d2f9da69979379249d683cbadad9578f1b54dfd3d15defc847a3d1e96

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 137,862 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 282 gradeable · cut $1,390 · toss-up score 24.0 of 25 possible · rotation offset 6 · slate claim 5066c205839ddf06…

CARD QUALITY — 22 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 3 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.96/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

CLAUDE FABLE 5.1SEALED

CLAUDE SONNET 5SEALED

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2SEALED

GPT 6 ASTRASEALED

GPT 5.6 TERRASEALED

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

KIMI K3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesNO

Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?12 OF 14 NO

Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-25?13 OF 14 YES

Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.0 and 56.5 million views on day 4?NO

Will Netanyahu say "Hormuz" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?NO

Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?13 OF 14 NO

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24?NO

Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?UNANIMOUS NO

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?YES

Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call?NO

Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?13 OF 14 YES

Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?13 OF 14 NO

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026?YES

Will France win on 2026-09-28?8 OF 14 YES

Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?UNANIMOUS NO

Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on September 23, 2026?NO

Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?YES

Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?UNANIMOUS NO

Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?UNANIMOUS YES

Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?12 OF 14 YES

Will Samson Dauda win Mr. Olympia 2026?UNANIMOUS NO

Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?13 OF 14 YES

Will Cracker Barrel say "Campfire" during earnings call?NO

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-09-26?UNANIMOUS NO