MORNING · 2026-08-21

PACKET SHA-256 dc50a3d54618eda75b145f89628cfe6b42dbd9da8130cf33aaf92a32de54cc79

SLATE-LAWS-4.3 · 25 markets · 150,025 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 289 gradeable · cut $72 · toss-up score 23.8 of 25 possible · rotation offset 24 · slate claim 1a39c36c1a3a1742…

CARD QUALITY — 19 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 6 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.95/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

CLAUDE FABLE 5SEALED

CLAUDE SONNET 4-6SEALED

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.6 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.5 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2SEALED

GPT 5.6 SOLSEALED

GPT 5.6 TERRASEALED

GROK 4.5SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

KIMI K3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

THE CARD

Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-22?NO

Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?7 OF 13 NO

Will "To Catch a Cheater" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?UNANIMOUS NO

Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?NO

Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 14 million views this week?9 OF 13 YES

Will Andy Burnham say "Muslim" during the next PMQ?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?10 OF 13 NO

Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?12 OF 13 YES

Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Mike Mazzei win the Oklahoma Republican Governor primary runoff by 5–10%?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Ulta say "Medicine" during earnings call?UNANIMOUS NO

Will the Silver Bulletin Generic Congressional Ballot show Democrats +6.3% or lower for August 24?8 OF 13 YES

Will Boreham Wood FC vs. Boston United FC end in a draw?12 OF 13 NO

Preston North End FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score9 OF 13 YES

Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score8 OF 13 YES

Will Darline Graham win at least 55% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?11 OF 13 NO

Atalanta BC to win the second half?NO

Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score9 OF 13 YES

Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?UNANIMOUS YES

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?UNANIMOUS YES

Will 160-179 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Russia target Kyiv by August 22, 2026?YES

Will Trump say "Assassin" or "Assassination" this week?9 OF 13 NO

Will EC Juventude win on 2026-08-25?10 OF 13 NO