MORNING · 2026-09-16

PACKET SHA-256 9e1378c253c4b8fcc3100996d15417e92e70687ca0da260132cef6486dc7daca

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 138,570 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 370 gradeable · cut $569 · toss-up score 22.8 of 25 possible · rotation offset 0 · slate claim 0e713e0d44e1c1aa…

CARD QUALITY — 17 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 8 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.91/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

CLAUDE FABLE 5.1SEALED

CLAUDE SONNET 5VOID

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2SEALED

GPT 6 ASTRAVOID

GPT 5.6 TERRASEALED

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

KIMI K3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?YES

Will Chloe Igleski advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?YES

Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?NO

Will Genie Erokhina / Emma Nelson advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 2-5%?NO

Will Hunter Johnson advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will Brooke Buckner / Dylan Frazier advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Kiora Kunimoto advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?YES

Will Linke win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?NO

Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-09-17?YES

Will Kate Fahey advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-09-19?YES

Will Connor Garnett advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will CDU win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?11 OF 12 NO

Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?NO

Will CJ Klinger / Ting Chieh Wei advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Liz Truluck advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win between 50 and 59 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?NO

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20?NO

Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?YES

Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?NO

Will Grüne win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?NO