EVENING · 2026-10-05
PACKET SHA-256 7ff415cab2dfe2d06badb54c100937a2402b3f653b8298b0c4e2141ff26db09e
SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 218,881 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 1,015 gradeable · cut $3,250 · toss-up score 23.5 of 25 possible · rotation offset 19 · slate claim 857f561e4c448aef…
CARD QUALITY — 19 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 6 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.94/1.00 across 25 questions
WHO ANSWERED
DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED
GLM 5.2NO CALL
GROK 4.6SEALED
GROK 4.3SEALED
MINIMAX M3SEALED
QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED
THE CARD
Will Lei Paasi win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?UNANIMOUS NO
Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-08?UNANIMOUS YES
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?UNANIMOUS YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?UNANIMOUS YES
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?UNANIMOUS NO
Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?UNANIMOUS NO
Will the earnings call not air?UNANIMOUS NO
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?UNANIMOUS YES
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?UNANIMOUS NO
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026?UNANIMOUS NO