DAWN · 2026-10-24

PACKET SHA-256 6ea783fb46da599e22e34d7fbfa96f0e30fd53108958585e77041943e045a50d

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 239,935 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 1,170 gradeable · cut $18,144 · toss-up score 24.3 of 25 possible · rotation offset 13 · slate claim 5363e3281c618cac…

CARD QUALITY — 24 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 1 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.97/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

DEEPSEEK V4 PROVOID

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHVOID

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHVOID

GLM 5.2NO CALL

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?3 OF 5 NO

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 25?UNANIMOUS NO

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 25?4 OF 5 YES

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 25?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?3 OF 5 YES

Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?UNANIMOUS YES

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 25?3 OF 5 NO

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?4 OF 5 NO

Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?4 OF 5 NO

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 26?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?UNANIMOUS YES

Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 25?UNANIMOUS NO

Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?UNANIMOUS NO

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?UNANIMOUS YES

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?4 OF 5 NO

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 25?3 OF 5 YES

Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?UNANIMOUS NO

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 25?4 OF 5 NO

Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?UNANIMOUS NO