EVENING · 2026-09-17

PACKET SHA-256 27fec997636d9f20225d082c5db921158ff39a01371055ab3a55f653376c3457

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 153,037 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 383 gradeable · cut $179 · toss-up score 23.0 of 25 possible · rotation offset 1 · slate claim 169146855849901c…

CARD QUALITY — 19 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 6 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.92/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

CLAUDE FABLE 5.1SEALED

CLAUDE SONNET 5VOID

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2SEALED

GPT 6 ASTRAVOID

GPT 5.6 TERRASEALED

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

KIMI K3NO CALL

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Will Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?YES

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?NO

Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?UNANIMOUS YES

Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?NO

Will Dekel Bar / Dylan Frazier advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?UNANIMOUS NO

Josh Allen: Anytime TouchdownYES

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?NO

Will Isabella Dunlap advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-19?NO

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 19?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?NO

Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?NO

Will Brooke Buckner advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will Chao Yi Wang / Milan Rane advance to the Semifinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Trump say "Valueless" this week?NO

Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Lions vs Bills game?YES

Will Tyra Hurricane Black / Noe Khlif advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Rachel Rohrabacher / Parris Todd advance to the Final in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?NO

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 14-20?NO

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20?NO

Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 20?NO

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-09-20?YES