MORNING · 2026-10-04

PACKET SHA-256 27e86d6d8c7c6149888970727827f2a095eaddd38dc236a069d1638dc83db0fc

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 198,056 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 440 gradeable · cut $1,695 · toss-up score 22.2 of 25 possible · rotation offset 18 · slate claim f3253e93e1efa9e1…

CARD QUALITY — 13 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 12 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.89/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2NO CALL

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Will Marcos Archambault win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?YES

Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 5?NO

Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05?NO

Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-07?UNANIMOUS NO

Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September?NO

Will Ciro Nogueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?NO

Will Solana dip to $120 on October 4?NO

Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?NO

Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?YES

Will Delegado Alessandro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?YES

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 6?YES

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 62-66%?UNANIMOUS NO

Will 'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana win the Ongo Niua 17 by-election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?YES

Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?YES

Scorigami in Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL season?NO

Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections?UNANIMOUS NO

Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-07?UNANIMOUS YES

Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?NO

Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?YES