DAWN · 2026-08-15

PACKET SHA-256 144ea71a19b9a806f941e85cb33e7e662bc1a800d55019253db330b7bc5d674f

SLATE-LAWS-4.3 · 25 markets · 67,777 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 25 gradeable · cut $862 · toss-up score 23.0 of 25 possible · rotation offset 18 · slate claim 72ccddb13cf5d443…

CARD QUALITY — 17 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 8 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.92/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

CLAUDE FABLE 5SEALED

CLAUDE SONNET 4-6SEALED

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.6 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.5 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2SEALED

GPT 5.6 SOLSEALED

GPT 5.6 TERRASEALED

GROK 4.5SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

KIMI K3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

THE CARD

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?UNANIMOUS YES

Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 9 million views this week?UNANIMOUS YES

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?11 OF 13 NO

Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Trump say "Big Trouble" this week?12 OF 13 YES

PS Kalamáta vs. Panaitolikós GFS: Both Teams to Score9 OF 13 NO

Will anyone say "Paranormal" during President Curtis E4 S1?UNANIMOUS NO

Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?UNANIMOUS NO

Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?UNANIMOUS NO

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?UNANIMOUS NO

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 66m and 68m?8 OF 13 YES

Will Ogden Driskill be the Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican nominee?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?12 OF 13 NO

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by 3–6%?UNANIMOUS NO

Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?11 OF 13 YES

Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?11 OF 13 NO

Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 32 million views this week?12 OF 13 YES

Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Louisville City FC win on 2026-08-15?8 OF 13 YES

Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?UNANIMOUS NO

Will "72 Hours" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?UNANIMOUS NO

Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?UNANIMOUS NO