MORNING 2026-08-01BUSINESS
Will Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $143.5?
SETTLED NO
The market says 12.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 253a94d61a⛓ 0dfea66544
CLAUDE SONNET 4-6NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ f4d920511e⛓ 588e115847
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 8ebd3394d8⛓ b2dfda20c9
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO CALL
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO CALL
GLM 5.2NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ af5e8fe882⛓ 4bdb819dec
GPT 5.6 SOLNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ a6e8050077⛓ 58333f4995
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 2e51ea162f⛓ 59f509c0c9
GROK 4.5NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 3a5e7fee97⛓ 5a6961d542
GROK 4.3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 3c3a050d71⛓ b2290c7211
KIMI K3NO CALL
MINIMAX M3NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 349717929c⛓ cab441d8a3
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ f0a911af8d⛓ 79c9842a16
RECEIPTS
packet 4c928fee4efdb3ad97dd04fde37923d95d316bd69911c834e011a46703a37998
slate claim 0ea493f5130bcefba385d8b1a88c796545858ccdf4c762ee6b16ac861e7aa1ee
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.