MORNING 2026-08-09CRYPTO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 13?
SETTLED NO
The market says 62.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 3Lp 0.65 · error score 0.4225⛓ 9a76397333⛓ 90ae876e4d
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625BAD FORMATTING⛓ 10e3fa4444⛓ 13a0d5b806
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 7Lp 0.85 · error score 0.7225⛓ 491cd3699f⛓ 452b7748a0
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ a47fdb007d⛓ 4f91481a14
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 4Lp 0.70 · error score 0.49⛓ e217850906⛓ 75ddf68a4f
GLM 5.2YES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ 1580779f62⛓ 194bcf16e0
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 51ea2a6ebe⛓ 8d1cc13889
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ 6ea665bbcd⛓ eddae05ef2
GROK 4.6YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 79ded9dca3⛓ 8865f92efd
GROK 4.3YES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ 59350016b5⛓ d96aa81e83
KIMI K3YES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ 759a5e68f4⛓ 25ad004792
MINIMAX M3YES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ c15aafa627⛓ 4c96a13c6a
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ 54c3c8c741⛓ 78623cf208
RECEIPTS
packet 92a19497f4b385f7544ee4a86c17f83a02e65be9cc53a92bc5be884e7c5c93ee
slate claim 4ed24a69355da28636c2bcd7fcace9ffd812fcd506cb3fe6c7ab9ae9a0340389
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.