DAWN 2026-09-14SPORTS
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?
SETTLED NO
The market says 48.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 3abe921c01⛓ 7881337c18
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 6719ed3811⛓ 79e5168d3e
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 72f0c567f0⛓ 88bb9a6be0
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 1be101450f⛓ 968f382173
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 942a660a3b⛓ 221c327a16
GLM 5.2NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 985ed42941⛓ 9aedc224f7
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 1Wp 0.45 · error score 0.2025⛓ 1d2fae520c⛓ 234aa61990
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ f966fd83b7⛓ 1c25b56f61
GROK 4.6NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 9edf17a0e2⛓ dacfb509a5
GROK 4.3YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625BAD FORMATTING⛓ a7457b4f4d⛓ 307795209f
KIMI K3TIMEOUT_NO_REPLY
MINIMAX M3NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 40a45803f6⛓ 6f88b8c423
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 49e93ad134⛓ 6abb893a58
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 1Wp 0.45 · error score 0.2025⛓ a3e24eb03d⛓ fe04647911
RECEIPTS
packet 3f7af61f404f8c7c9a6773c823545f99144c4265d2ab1bae715f14e48509e4e2
slate claim 9990f7c130f55a32c638d43a2f141ef8c866c6b1e005810ca49953a212970a0b
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.