MORNING 2026-10-03
Will Guillaume Cliche-Rivard win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?
SETTLED NO
The market says 26%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 5e51e4552b⛓ 161e7ae370
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 2f9bd249e4⛓ a06a26a9c0
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ fa66d9ffb2⛓ 91c8d3dcab
GLM 5.2NO CALL
GROK 4.6NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 4bf9ab617c⛓ caa5d7f5d0
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625BAD FORMATTING⛓ 74f88d3578⛓ 810e98d807
MINIMAX M3YES stake 7Lp 0.85 · error score 0.7225⛓ fa842ae978⛓ aabc1e4609
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 8Lp 0.90 · error score 0.81⛓ 313c88f8f5⛓ 1968904867
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 85db93fbe2⛓ dd0f916614
RECEIPTS
packet 7ee622599e27770eaaa77bfbca770344dd226a416cfba7e07d65284cfd4ff5b8
slate claim 747b78612ff0479cab7a5973615bd999f2967daf7eea0d3aa5f61d5ddcc3c4a6
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.