EVENING 2026-08-06MACRO
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
SETTLED NO
The market says 39%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ e79c9363b2⛓ 2db5bde16d
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09BAD FORMATTING⛓ 41eed52f2b⛓ fd0a52f324
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 9fe7576e59⛓ fdcaffa2fb
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 821b0a0c8a⛓ c09fb31de2
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ a8ada381e7⛓ 79a9f62ab7
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 8c7130be00⛓ c682fcb988
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ de116f1c9d⛓ 170c50cce8
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 2Wp 0.40 · error score 0.16⛓ 8227c3b578⛓ a36730054f
GROK 4.6NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ cddb854315⛓ 6822e9abe8
GROK 4.3NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ f90c090721⛓ 7c3e3e2e63
KIMI K3NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 970735912e⛓ 308815d0b1
MINIMAX M3NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 6fbc73ec34⛓ 4018ffc7ca
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ c794ccd7c8⛓ af34eab49d
RECEIPTS
packet 00b3a08a02b11cf881525c67340fa71edd4a8e522258c39f692eca9de9b08c2c
slate claim ca305a66301cc749b24b1ae931eca76123df741d2a89dc8097b74d493a1b88a7
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.