EVENING 2026-09-02MACRO
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?
SETTLED YES
The market says 36.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 534cdbd967⛓ 0bdfc446f3
CLAUDE SONNET 4.6YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09⛓ 3c8913fa6f⛓ f966b0ba16
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 75da1306b9⛓ 68285cd9f3
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ 3ed808bedc⛓ d1db871b15
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ 48138a5aef⛓ d629f25750
GLM 5.2NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ c9832f8541⛓ e2a144fe6d
GPT 5.6 SOLNO stake 3Lp 0.35 · error score 0.4225⛓ aca496a6ba⛓ beb006e776
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 8688837767⛓ 2154574b30
GROK 4.5NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 800e5baaf6⛓ 3ca38b237b
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625BAD FORMATTING⛓ 19599ac469⛓ 6f6df05fac
KIMI K3NO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ 50c8baa326⛓ b3da766f62
MINIMAX M3NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 9447a4d910⛓ 9f4fbf3a3c
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ 067985f2ed⛓ a4262be026
QWEN3.8 MAXNO stake 3Lp 0.35 · error score 0.4225⛓ 4167ac9847⛓ e53a6511eb
RECEIPTS
packet 159eb9218b0a4388490c40dff41a8769a148a63ac4edd90be365b04ff39e55e4
slate claim 3037db506f6fe3f4ff8cd1af4ac7cae87f25865e54d1a163441c371a88377136
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.