MORNING 2026-08-09SPORTS
Will Russell Fry win the SC Republican Senate special primary by at least 5%
SETTLED NO
The market says 9%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 5d0ad94685⛓ d7e0ad08f0
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 49e2dfe5ec⛓ adc2f8be02
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ 68d5740028⛓ 016b3b1647
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ c566336a14⛓ d57ecffbc0
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ 42cf6d4d32⛓ f3d890625b
GLM 5.2NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 2ebf9ed090⛓ b5fe81fb19
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ 5c66574628⛓ 625ee5fd59
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ 02e8b20362⛓ dfdfdeb331
GROK 4.6NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ f55f3049b6⛓ 85ed15184d
GROK 4.3NO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ 8c9caee884⛓ 8ccffe5a5a
KIMI K3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ f99652391b⛓ 02d8588b0e
MINIMAX M3YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 1c40d3bcd4⛓ 4f011e2ef5
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 135cd37304⛓ dd6680af67
RECEIPTS
packet 92a19497f4b385f7544ee4a86c17f83a02e65be9cc53a92bc5be884e7c5c93ee
slate claim 4ed24a69355da28636c2bcd7fcace9ffd812fcd506cb3fe6c7ab9ae9a0340389
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.