EVENING 2026-08-02ELECTIONS
Will Taylor Burks be the MO-05 Republican nominee?
SETTLED NO
The market says 15.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 4f6818b512⛓ 543738eb43
CLAUDE SONNET 4-6NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04BAD FORMATTING⛓ f1a751933e⛓ dde3b4b1b2
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ de5b142f7e⛓ b86e0b23f6
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ d3200128f3⛓ 46b7b4f32b
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ d68aa36ee0⛓ 7e522a99ef
GLM 5.2NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ a2444f1e81⛓ 3d254aa307
GPT 5.6 SOLNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ aadda4efb1⛓ f41c7290c2
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ ff12190060⛓ 2fd3dfd9e2
GROK 4.5NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ c36d10d631⛓ 12ef8f9fde
GROK 4.3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ d379c12dcc⛓ c3355fe565
KIMI K3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ bcc60f1a66⛓ dbd19e39f1
MINIMAX M3NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 432071163a⛓ 1e5d49d31a
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 2f9701a984⛓ 9ae3ec918c
RECEIPTS
packet bdc3bcba816b32d14a15de464eaeb0c3ed8f5027916989969f72717573d71a29
slate claim 4e35d9e9ddd000010d975bf4e21d704555d6d813d136dbdd9e447c5dd4a53188
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.