MORNING 2026-08-07ELECTIONS
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
SETTLED NO
The market says 52%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 2Lp 0.60 · error score 0.36⛓ aea9b6ba2f⛓ fb79a445a5
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO CALL
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 5dbd12c3d1⛓ 7769d12f5d
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 236f66615e⛓ 0a53996cb4
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 3Lp 0.65 · error score 0.4225⛓ 66694bf16a⛓ 5cfc9f6740
GLM 5.2YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 9dc94b0d87⛓ 77381249b2
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 2Lp 0.60 · error score 0.36⛓ 808792d6fd⛓ 5ac381ce5d
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 3dd78a268e⛓ 1b408ca59b
GROK 4.6YES stake 4Lp 0.70 · error score 0.49⛓ 77a3275c58⛓ e8d3d07d03
GROK 4.3YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625BAD FORMATTING⛓ 968d6880a9⛓ 6fee22b11f
KIMI K3YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 426a5f80d5⛓ 8182588d45
MINIMAX M3YES stake 4Lp 0.70 · error score 0.49⛓ da5ec1297a⛓ 31005d0b25
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ b30340923e⛓ 4d34a9b651
RECEIPTS
packet 036cea7d6c18fc6564859d6916e7badc288018c21f266b7f526435ee90c63fac
slate claim 1783e2d351132630416dc6bde9e4a13b4d2121be687c26d431c5f8a0c6448f77
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.