DAWN 2026-09-16ELECTIONS
Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?
SETTLED NO
The market says 24.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 15fe22afd9⛓ 3fc3c22f08
CLAUDE SONNET 5VOID
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 0c45f87bdd⛓ 3e085bba87
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ b9cb7ec309⛓ 26e715317d
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 4c0ceb7d67⛓ 9da46ea22f
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ ca11f0748a⛓ a6a94af34b
GPT 6 ASTRAVOID
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ bf91924d04⛓ 1384ba8404
GROK 4.6NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ a5d63b2cf7⛓ dae65e62be
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625BAD FORMATTING⛓ aa79a57224⛓ 7e7dd9ef51
KIMI K3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ c3dd855013⛓ f21fb821f7
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 31c15b6f97⛓ c5b55c125c
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ f94fe7ee54⛓ 7f860b50c6
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ db4bc1018c⛓ 8ab7fa95d9
RECEIPTS
packet 9b648bfe0f99aa2da454f02a2dd91af92513a69a8272f5351b7cb06352f653a4
slate claim 0cc9c420288cec9527d012ca35bba0094ea35a901e9a9090bc91348e322f3240
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.