DAWN 2026-09-11MACRO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
SETTLED NO
The market says 38.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 9b3585eb5f⛓ cba62eec57
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 6d19ba3858⛓ cecfd55308
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 686d4c5ac8⛓ be3cfe6bde
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 349dd9840e⛓ 0390a4b090
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 87a7c14102⛓ b7a503381b
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 94947ad5af⛓ 53bda6efa4
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 054131e7ef⛓ 22240ae498
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ ad49e38d07⛓ 0c2c5f02db
GROK 4.6YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 0d98eb375c⛓ f6e3555e5b
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04BAD FORMATTING⛓ 398d93d22c⛓ e862ae149e
KIMI K3NO CALL
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ b94bac9e2f⛓ d2b1507d4c
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 783f933b3e⛓ 1e45903b32
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 8a11fb349f⛓ 9d90e8b1ac
RECEIPTS
packet fec63c6edaee7f0844aacab2e7a57ec6779a2d400dfe3b3e32316763ac9c6702
slate claim b8384c24306df6d487fc8d34b3029b33ae25da40e1a1a0a66afad039d666829b
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.