DAWN 2026-09-11ELECTIONS
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
SETTLED YES
The market says 24%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ a33e647e87⛓ a25d1f94c6
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 3b4d0d4d40⛓ bc446dd8ba
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ f29f1162f6⛓ 240ad3c392
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 1e54489ce2⛓ 16ffd791f8
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 8669fc803b⛓ add31bbfe1
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 319f0ff126⛓ d9e680be01
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 6e8d20b852⛓ 101baf33f1
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ 0358df8497⛓ 1078120c0a
GROK 4.6NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 9d81e6d6ac⛓ 1c8f95b344
GROK 4.3NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 939c1e3422⛓ 9464bf9cc1
KIMI K3NO CALL
MINIMAX M3YES stake 8Wp 0.90 · error score 0.01⛓ 7034fbd134⛓ a9e45563f2
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ b5aa549377⛓ 61d7d4b2d8
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 4b0b8529f0⛓ 4353f5e214
RECEIPTS
packet fec63c6edaee7f0844aacab2e7a57ec6779a2d400dfe3b3e32316763ac9c6702
slate claim b8384c24306df6d487fc8d34b3029b33ae25da40e1a1a0a66afad039d666829b
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.