MORNING 2026-09-12AI
Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?
SETTLED YES
The market says 53.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ 0045700a74⛓ 6bcc7509de
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09⛓ 6073a2c20b⛓ 4630e04d28
DEEPSEEK V4 PROVOID
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 53497877fb⛓ 54a10ae5a3
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ 3f75df9695⛓ 5a7fc9be21
GLM 5.2YES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 68f1816fd1⛓ 4da489e2b9
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 1Wp 0.55 · error score 0.2025⛓ 7fa929d889⛓ 3e1fc99d0a
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 04fdca1c0f⛓ 9fb344788b
GROK 4.6YES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ b1890d18f9⛓ 239693e215
GROK 4.3YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09BAD FORMATTING⛓ aa31f0ad28⛓ c84ca11671
KIMI K3NO CALL
MINIMAX M3YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ fc50fec75d⛓ fc30098992
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 8Wp 0.90 · error score 0.01⛓ 7a15c8491d⛓ 7a56cb3f50
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902YES stake 1Wp 0.55 · error score 0.2025⛓ 972a3e8e47⛓ b0f7b9b81f
RECEIPTS
packet bfb6db85ba49f5d5f9c9ae357d4710f3421fc03f85310c3b661240753c6ed338
slate claim f50e14729cd543f81269de80fc20c1c53f85ecea9aa228c3300ab2ac4e9f2c64
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.