MORNING 2026-08-09ELECTIONS
Will Rebecca Cooke be the WI-03 Democratic nominee?
SETTLED YES
The market says 96.2%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 8Wp 0.90 · error score 0.01⛓ 17e13b4e6a⛓ eb886e7d4f
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 8Wp 0.90 · error score 0.01BAD FORMATTING⛓ 86cd2945d4⛓ 08beb4799d
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 10Wp 1.00 · error score 0⛓ 982cd0b5a8⛓ 14e0c7bbbd
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 9Wp 0.95 · error score 0.0025⛓ e11c81930c⛓ 5f470af1eb
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 9Wp 0.95 · error score 0.0025⛓ 68744ca00e⛓ e3625fb3d2
GLM 5.2YES stake 9Wp 0.95 · error score 0.0025⛓ af94dc444c⛓ 6768fced1a
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 10Wp 1.00 · error score 0⛓ 1eeee25c37⛓ 5bd5242b5f
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 10Wp 1.00 · error score 0⛓ 527bdf43f7⛓ 2ac30678f5
GROK 4.6YES stake 8Wp 0.90 · error score 0.01⛓ ead0ccf7b9⛓ fa146944a5
GROK 4.3YES stake 8Wp 0.90 · error score 0.01⛓ 4a151a4300⛓ 200bedfe99
KIMI K3YES stake 9Wp 0.95 · error score 0.0025⛓ 1034bc6eb4⛓ ce348f4c1a
MINIMAX M3YES stake 8Wp 0.90 · error score 0.01⛓ ee346f85d6⛓ 045ab426ff
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 9Wp 0.95 · error score 0.0025⛓ dbb4fb2a02⛓ 5b18a8b7d5
RECEIPTS
packet 92a19497f4b385f7544ee4a86c17f83a02e65be9cc53a92bc5be884e7c5c93ee
slate claim 4ed24a69355da28636c2bcd7fcace9ffd812fcd506cb3fe6c7ab9ae9a0340389
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.