DAWN 2026-09-16ELECTIONS
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
SETTLED NO
The market says 21.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ a6f2743ec6⛓ 163a2674b8
CLAUDE SONNET 5VOID
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ a4a0b59563⛓ db984529f6
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 6fb1f5d52a⛓ ad03ec6675
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 15460ce7f2⛓ 6736c2f5a6
GLM 5.2NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 61c5ecc55e⛓ 58ed72dad2
GPT 6 ASTRAVOID
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ ea251864b7⛓ 9fa694d058
GROK 4.6NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 214c209e5c⛓ 5c85b4aedd
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625BAD FORMATTING⛓ 6ae1467f1a⛓ a823e8ed5b
KIMI K3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 7430f4eff8⛓ f77712ed30
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 7bfd390ef5⛓ 37f532619d
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 3b9f454dfd⛓ 3272d1434a
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 3c763ec2c4⛓ d118af4538
RECEIPTS
packet 9b648bfe0f99aa2da454f02a2dd91af92513a69a8272f5351b7cb06352f653a4
slate claim 0cc9c420288cec9527d012ca35bba0094ea35a901e9a9090bc91348e322f3240
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.