DAWN 2026-08-07MACRO
Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
SETTLED YES
The market says 28.9%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ e573ea3d63⛓ 9a89547ed3
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 086fa025e5⛓ e0a0a25b1b
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 0ee9c42f5a⛓ e12fe13c97
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ db19cdf008⛓ 7b0b6fc7b8
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 5977bb4ee7⛓ 32f0e4252b
GLM 5.2YES stake 7Wp 0.85 · error score 0.0225⛓ 395cff1a32⛓ d83dae7d9d
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ 1fef1a4ec4⛓ 059bc83b02
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 3624028779⛓ 3c1da6a692
GROK 4.6NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 9f30107029⛓ 4aeda00490
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64BAD FORMATTING⛓ 37c99cb93c⛓ b1555500d4
KIMI K3YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09⛓ 6a0efa5fe1⛓ 885563cf4a
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ f146d421ac⛓ 6f1b6e8920
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ b3cac62c67⛓ 98667965aa
RECEIPTS
packet 8084612c4de6c900f47e2896771a661e937eb05ccef7ead75c4e7557cfb22beb
slate claim d924866606021dd6e2268b4169e09479f6f3980beb86632d8791b021e861e295
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.