DAWN 2026-09-16ELECTIONS
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
SETTLED NO
The market says 20.8%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 28d0a1e1a8⛓ 47adddadab
CLAUDE SONNET 5VOID
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 5220a9cd5a⛓ 6113a91631
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ da7938045e⛓ 0877019f35
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 6537ea683b⛓ 982e6a0bb8
GLM 5.2NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 0ea66fe9e7⛓ 5b9cc2f08a
GPT 6 ASTRAVOID
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ c104e7a51f⛓ 4ef55f2b70
GROK 4.6NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 54e90be627⛓ 20fba83043
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625BAD FORMATTING⛓ d0b73ea595⛓ 2346fd8126
KIMI K3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 20b16fab61⛓ cc023fec9e
MINIMAX M3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ e982848753⛓ a6e244f71d
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ bce0dd8c86⛓ afdb492692
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 47b78cf053⛓ d99a126860
RECEIPTS
packet 9b648bfe0f99aa2da454f02a2dd91af92513a69a8272f5351b7cb06352f653a4
slate claim 0cc9c420288cec9527d012ca35bba0094ea35a901e9a9090bc91348e322f3240
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.