EVENING 2026-08-27GEOPOLITICS
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?
SETTLED YES
The market says 77%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ daed7dc3af⛓ f7534f42d7
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 7Wp 0.85 · error score 0.0225⛓ 3ffde9b546⛓ 40ff408c12
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 8Wp 0.90 · error score 0.01⛓ fb261288e2⛓ 877d855ecf
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO CALL
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 8Wp 0.90 · error score 0.01⛓ 8d45335b01⛓ f1e8103644
GLM 5.2YES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ c93caf8056⛓ 39caedcd09
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 8eba010cce⛓ d2346447a3
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 8Wp 0.90 · error score 0.01⛓ 24c9a66547⛓ 3cb21d60ec
GROK 4.6YES stake 7Wp 0.85 · error score 0.0225⛓ 681e06d3e3⛓ 8fc55d14b2
GROK 4.3YES stake 7Wp 0.85 · error score 0.0225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 6a9268cf05⛓ 28701dcc20
KIMI K3YES stake 7Wp 0.85 · error score 0.0225⛓ 08ee624591⛓ 0f4bc36dda
MINIMAX M3YES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 4dc1b016f8⛓ dbfcad606f
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ b13187bac2⛓ d0f64aca50
RECEIPTS
packet 04ff54bf464533bcf12029b3493cc3f8c2644fbcddf8b61667fdf86d6daabde2
slate claim fbc34b568f71bc7a2aa8e8652dba7b12f24613257a63b4a5041697d4f65c2320
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.