EVENING 2026-09-01ELECTIONS
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?
SETTLED NO
The market says 25%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ ca319937e7⛓ 79f11a1005
CLAUDE SONNET 4.6NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 3853055a3c⛓ 93212a661b
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ d894e9233a⛓ bc56a079e3
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ aeaa5c1a41⛓ ad08635a38
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 73a1d6df88⛓ 8d9d8c2747
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 038f0976d2⛓ cd2c26108d
GPT 5.6 SOLNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 26c299d81a⛓ 8eb624aa10
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 0035e831fa⛓ 40c8b30c7b
GROK 4.5NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ deeec13423⛓ fd44e31eb0
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04BAD FORMATTING⛓ 41549e2d98⛓ f6b10b4935
KIMI K3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 69b2869e73⛓ e4b5f1a549
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 7fde839871⛓ cd3eae0bde
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ c86d061be4⛓ eddab3ed77
QWEN3.8 MAXNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ bb4e6f391a⛓ c52f25df91
RECEIPTS
packet f30ebea7b5943cdefefbf5c8345ae8e24adba89368a5ac46ecb41aab9d48457f
slate claim bdd89fc8491ef0c2ff491516e20353c7ad0ee8d1050ea8b1948448d0ab96eff5
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.