EVENING 2026-08-06GEOPOLITICS
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?
settles 2026-08-09
The market says 32.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
13 asked. 13 answered. 12 of 13 NO — settlement decides.
CLAUDE FABLE 5NO
CLAUDE SONNET 4-6NO
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO
GLM 5.2NO
GPT 5.6 SOLNO
GPT 5.6 TERRANO
GROK 4.5NO
GROK 4.3YES
KIMI K3NO
MINIMAX M3NO
QWEN3.7 MAXNO
RECEIPTS
packet 00b3a08a02b11cf881525c67340fa71edd4a8e522258c39f692eca9de9b08c2c
slate claim ca305a66301cc749b24b1ae931eca76123df741d2a89dc8097b74d493a1b88a7
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.