EVENING 2026-08-31
What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)
SETTLED YES
The market says 60.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09⛓ e4c0ec8a52⛓ 66816b62a6
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 0ac4e1dc76⛓ 2c37a1cafb
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ 5fc91b7fde⛓ cf64340a2a
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 9cc0fa2567⛓ 8f662f7d46
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ d46b6a9044⛓ c6d4776223
GLM 5.2YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ c06045823f⛓ b9474320c6
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ a00627106b⛓ 97fbf27a4b
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ d0da7baedd⛓ 10d471bffa
GROK 4.6YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ b9fb456bf3⛓ f8f859a10f
GROK 4.3NO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49BAD FORMATTING⛓ e4641845e4⛓ 78d83f472c
KIMI K3YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 83becbeba0⛓ 87c07549fb
MINIMAX M3YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ cdf7019d1f⛓ cbbc3812f9
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 44b6efb0c5⛓ 3a7b4a7f0d
RECEIPTS
packet 1fda15f87170442e8189d1844f880a023bb684f27f2f57c38be65231de2d0af8
slate claim 27c537807ca8b1f995ed7c573711f5c43eb20dc1abdd764dd08741fd376be3de
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.