MORNING 2026-09-20AI
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?
SETTLED YES
The market says 50.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 3Lp 0.35 · error score 0.4225⛓ e47ac72448⛓ 655a495b33
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ a6dc8f0255⛓ edef380848
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 1Lp 0.45 · error score 0.3025⛓ 250ac1b6e9⛓ dac0e1f1ce
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 3Lp 0.35 · error score 0.4225⛓ 249b39f0fc⛓ 4e6bc392d8
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 095c72caf0⛓ cd272a92aa
GLM 5.2NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 1236c97fe8⛓ 3312e26926
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 1Lp 0.45 · error score 0.3025⛓ b26ecd17a9⛓ 459a7366eb
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ ff80de726c⛓ 9ca7af9cef
GROK 4.6NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ dc2a2ea87c⛓ 0af262cf71
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625BAD FORMATTING⛓ e149c1bcba⛓ 228308ba13
KIMI K3NO stake 3Lp 0.35 · error score 0.4225⛓ 8f08fff9c2⛓ 31a86a113e
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 92e011bfb2⛓ 202be2cf23
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 605c6a3f47⛓ c3cacac81f
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902YES stake 1Wp 0.55 · error score 0.2025⛓ a6e5382f15⛓ 3d2446e5ef
RECEIPTS
packet 656c98d5d7796689d39794b6f6986c3416c163292e2622b70cd469cf6aa0ee70
slate claim f81dd6981decd3de4c4773939a84943eed3d84c54deaeabf8181970baca89c34
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.