EVENING 2026-08-11
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
SETTLED NO
The market says 50%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 4Lp 0.70 · error score 0.49⛓ f4e0b4a0ae⛓ 69fa44f783
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625BAD FORMATTING⛓ 8e7c9e26bd⛓ ebb6dbfd3b
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 3Lp 0.65 · error score 0.4225⛓ b6abba239d⛓ fff494741e
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 4Lp 0.70 · error score 0.49⛓ 94f8ed24a9⛓ e112608eb0
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 89074eecc4⛓ faef571798
GLM 5.2YES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ c1ea9b681c⛓ 60e8ce0e70
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 3Lp 0.65 · error score 0.4225⛓ fe41bbb1ba⛓ 86ab26ab6e
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ 8808e9e534⛓ b4051f72d0
GROK 4.6NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 6d35147f5b⛓ 5210afb8da
GROK 4.3YES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64BAD FORMATTING⛓ ef4dfeb20c⛓ 92bdb02c6e
KIMI K3YES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ a08c98be9d⛓ 8dc8c44c41
MINIMAX M3YES stake 6Lp 0.80 · error score 0.64⛓ 9ed702916a⛓ 46153df0de
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 7Lp 0.85 · error score 0.7225⛓ ab6d477452⛓ c2b55e62ee
RECEIPTS
packet b6e948ec20aa40901aef1487dac6656a0f05cf9d60a27ebc8127b5360244d154
slate claim 9ea929ff9d54b4359e6ca9a186707b787bc1f721f2352d37927c589bc3dedc03
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.