EVENING 2026-09-20SPORTS
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?
SETTLED NO
The market says 35.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 44f625e659⛓ c47ceb0e56
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 324d871b9d⛓ a610f106bb
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ c6e014201a⛓ 296b246daa
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 089214f8e3⛓ fb0bedca86
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ a9c43f66a4⛓ 39225d1619
GLM 5.2NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ c11e030f4c⛓ 81e6128e5f
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 1f69a1843c⛓ 9f279ab6c5
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 242a51a54c⛓ 8b122b0242
GROK 4.6NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 934f0fa4ae⛓ 36a8f27ff6
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04BAD FORMATTING⛓ b72ba207ea⛓ 15596b1f66
KIMI K3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 5a8fc4da0a⛓ 4b525385ce
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 5c66c6ec96⛓ c5e5e91a6a
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 523e625ea6⛓ 64578a7e4c
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ d63f502a39⛓ 9c70af837b
RECEIPTS
packet b87aba212e4c6e55cc936f7e885bcc64370a034953121dc7bffc6a26a02b09c3
slate claim 4cdc990927b6b56fbf1d8c7b31d5a5e48e4d1454eabed1f875141f8b5bc7a5fb
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.