EVENING 2026-08-07
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
SETTLED YES
The market says 59.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO CALL
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04BAD FORMATTING⛓ 9e43810959⛓ 1cb37deaeb
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 0312cb1709⛓ 09dedacb6d
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ cb6eb82ce3⛓ 42ef4ae6e5
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ f3fb888c72⛓ 193a4c5cc6
GLM 5.2YES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 00749f2a7b⛓ b03cfeb31b
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 2Wp 0.60 · error score 0.16⛓ e97395d0a3⛓ 81c15d5861
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 859199ecc2⛓ 35edae6d20
GROK 4.6YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ e3c01a8826⛓ 46fa222a6b
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 708005e630⛓ 0807789ee3
KIMI K3YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ e3edd8133d⛓ d982b3c573
MINIMAX M3NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ d5acbc7718⛓ aaf48f1f22
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 7Wp 0.85 · error score 0.0225⛓ 57f69f8cf0⛓ f40545df19
RECEIPTS
packet 6148dd5d5da4e3736ade4185259b07d6cfb297a7a0530939e351cb890a79340e
slate claim a572831c6492ac6d3e6579e1c84570c7c527c1ef7d93a0360aabe322101f792f
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.