EVENING 2026-09-11GEOPOLITICS
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
SETTLED YES
The market says 22.8%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 29471e97d2⛓ c14e75922a
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ e12a3db050⛓ 2055c7200b
DEEPSEEK V4 PROVOID
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 04fde88204⛓ 103f494d80
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 8Lp 0.10 · error score 0.81⛓ 47fd8fa45a⛓ 52e0c7bff8
GLM 5.2NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 4b8432acc0⛓ 2f60807e5b
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 8419573fa6⛓ b403d33be8
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 25114d70a8⛓ 1d77cee7ee
GROK 4.6NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 08c9e09da3⛓ 5253ebbc25
GROK 4.3NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 3f1f5accc3⛓ c340bf3a8a
KIMI K3NO CALL
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 21149ab30a⛓ 81e25334a1
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ a8603e7052⛓ c1273394bb
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625⛓ 1ca46c44cf⛓ de7a8b6f44
RECEIPTS
packet a61957c809b71b6388150a8a314e03d2db61bf28d4561205f13af312facb5f96
slate claim 9a26f7b23c3f3fd22856fe4e964fba17f79e38c5167c96e0dec419af0616d7e0
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.