MORNING 2026-09-20GEOPOLITICS
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 23, 2026?
settles 2026-09-23
The market says 46%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
14 asked. 14 answered. 9 of 14 NO — settlement decides.
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO
GLM 5.2YES
GPT 6 ASTRANO
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES
GROK 4.6NO
GROK 4.3YES
KIMI K3NO
MINIMAX M3NO
QWEN3.7 MAXYES
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO
RECEIPTS
packet 656c98d5d7796689d39794b6f6986c3416c163292e2622b70cd469cf6aa0ee70
slate claim f81dd6981decd3de4c4773939a84943eed3d84c54deaeabf8181970baca89c34
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.