DAWN 2026-08-03
Will Philip Sarnecki win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by less than 5%?
SETTLED NO
The market says 10.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 7d5b5c99eb⛓ 1ca8f9550e
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 307fa1442d⛓ cd1b04db65
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 276d789fa9⛓ 7b1ee8a05e
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 9d0385e60a⛓ 6d6a37de3b
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO CALL
GLM 5.2NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ e2c74a85ee⛓ c7ccc83f2b
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 8fb3b6a5e5⛓ 034e62df68
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ 120f9fa391⛓ 22910a1122
GROK 4.6NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ a4e90e50c1⛓ 8ca8efb8f3
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04BAD FORMATTING⛓ 9f0e205b00⛓ 638f592a52
KIMI K3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 6dd2aba970⛓ b6a7c64f68
MINIMAX M3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 1906f24712⛓ 20c3e01e5b
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ e878241997⛓ aa0f9dfe2c
RECEIPTS
packet 82043c5a249cbf73724b7afd4e708551c84347bacc892dfd53b49c87f2102e1b
slate claim f9836e2ba830121d8a93e109c440e9e7e29e4eb32fc8212bcf332dce099fc2ae
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.