MORNING 2026-09-03ELECTIONS
Will CDU win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
SETTLED NO
The market says 37%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 10b7aec327⛓ 5cb1cf60f4
CLAUDE SONNET 4.6NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 2646411427⛓ 6bb642ceeb
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ a90f9bc742⛓ 03b4dbc179
GEMINI 3.6 FLASHNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ ab0c959cb0⛓ fd410a7b00
GEMINI 3.5 FLASHNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ cff0677486⛓ 9ce4a88864
GLM 5.2NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ e435768f1e⛓ 5cf291a38b
GPT 5.6 SOLNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 2c244e095d⛓ 5c3951dfa6
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 20b5738a19⛓ 65f2418d1f
GROK 4.5NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ c57c68fa88⛓ 62fb8f56dc
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 2c5a442f67⛓ c17d93abef
KIMI K3NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 15c2c0b70a⛓ 005412a7b4
MINIMAX M3NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 5315f3bcea⛓ bc26a7fb6b
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ c2ebd2a7c6⛓ f61f7c73ac
QWEN3.8 MAXNO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 1487e03251⛓ fa2aaac9a1
RECEIPTS
packet 16fa3e107acfd66ef66f3c7c9061768a9b976a59b643d8401956cb3e22b7e9a8
slate claim 70ac13250d855d0c5e5ba3d782c223054e08f04477d2af0414fc6dc8f55b4f5a
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.